DOES THE LEAGUE TABLES REFLECT TEAM STRENGTH?
I contend that the league table has a number of inherent weaknesses - particularly if you think it reflects the strength of your team!!
The Football Association don’t award 3 points for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss to help you determine your teams full ability! This system is fine for the FA’s
championship and relegation purposes, but it does not recognise the strengths and weaknesses in teams that we need to understand…
For instance, the FA award 1 point for a draw whether it is earned at home or away. We want to know more than that, we want a system that recognises an away draw as a stronger performance than one earned at home. This a logical. Similarly we want a system that recognises an away
win as harder to come by than a win at home.
So I’m going to suggest a points system of our own – which naturally gives teams entirely different league standings from the official version.
When we can identify teams that really are similar in ability - games between them are likely to be closely fought.
So we should now forget the FA’s 3-1-0 points scoring system, here is ours:
Home win – 10 points
Home draw – 4 points
Away win – 15 points
Away draw – 8 points
This scoring system answers all our questions about where, when and how a team earns its points, now we can use that information to compile a more meaningful league table of our own.
Let’s suppose that a team had played 10 matches, and had recorded the following results.
3 Home Wins
2 Home Draws
1 Away Win
3 Away Draws
1 Away Loss.
They would have earned the following points.
3 Home Wins – 30 points
2 Home Draws – 8 points
1 Away Win – 15 points
3 Away Draws – 24 points
1 Away Loss – 0 points
Which would give us a total of 77 points.
To solve the problem of teams having played differing numbers of matches, the points total is divided by the number of matches the team has played. In this case, the points total of 77 is divided by 10, to give us a figure of 7.7. We can dispense with the decimal point, and call the team’s league rating 77.
If a team had a points total of 80 and had played 9 matches, then 80 divided by 9 would give us a figure of 8.8, which with the decimal point discarded, gives us a league rating of 88.
A team with a points total of 72, that had played 11 matches would have a league rating of 65. (72 points divided by 11 matches equals 6.5, decimal point discarded, league rating 65).
A league of our own
These league ratings figures now take the place of the team’s ‘total points’ in the traditional table. We therefore compile our own league standings based on these league ratings.
So a team with a league rating of 75 would be lower than a team with a rating of 77, and a team with a rating of 72 would be lower than a team with a rating of 75. By placing the teams in the order of their ratings, we now have our own league table..
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